Who will be the winner of Republican primary?

Home - The holiday season and a slew of major news and cultural events will be competing for voters’ attention as candidates prepare for the first round of voting in the 2016 primary season.

With less than two months until the Iowa caucuses, the campaigns are aware the clock is ticking.

Gov. Mike Huckabee’s campaign, for example, polled 5,000 Iowa Republicans last week on their candidate preference. But the results were anything but clear: Roughly 75 percent of respondents said they had not decided which candidate to support. Of those, another 58 percent couldn’t even name a likely favorite.

“We’re a ways off from figuring this out,” said Huckabee spokesman Hogan Gidley.

But in fact, voters in the key states of Iowa and New Hampshire, and the candidates courting them, have very little time left to figure everything out. Of the 45 days until the Iowa caucuses, two weeks will soon be gobbled up by the holiday season. Some lesser distractions will follow, including football playoffs and the opening of the new “Star Wars” film.

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Changing Demographics will be the death knell for the Republican Party — even though it may take White House in '16

Home - No matter who wins the nomination battle, the Republican Party has a much bigger problem: demographics. A new report released by the Center for American Progress analyzed the demographic advantages for Democrats in 2016 and beyond and the results are overwhelmingly positive. And this should surprise no one. Observers on both sides have long questioned the Republican Party’s viability in an increasingly progressive and less white America. With every national election, it becomes more obvious that the GOP’s “Southern Strategy,” which exploited racial and cultural resentment for votes, has finally backfired. As The Nation’s William Greider wrote in October: “The GOP finds itself trapped in a marriage that has not only gone bad but is coming apart in full public view. After five decades of shrewd strategy, the Republican coalition Richard Nixon put together in 1968 – welcoming the segregationist white South into the Party of Lincoln ...

The Ted Cruz moment has arrived. The question is how long it will last?

Home - Is it fleeting? Or will it run right up to the nomination stage at the RNC in Cleveland? In the latest Des Moines Register poll, the Texas senator has surged way ahead of Donald Trump in Iowa, with 10 points separating them. Nationally, he still lags well behind Trump, but he’s been steadily climbing and is in second place in RealClearPolitics’ average. How did this happen? Most of all, Cruz seems to have benefited from the collapse of Ben Carson, who has slipped significantly. He’s also pulling some voters from Donald Trump—just as he predicted would happen eventually, which is why he cozied up to Trump for so long. Cruz recently pulled in the endorsement of influential Iowan Bob Vander Plaats, effectively clinching evangelical support in the state. His campaign is also trumpeting his data efforts, which seek to close the campaign technology gap between Republicans and Democrats. Read the full story here.

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